Investing Archives - Mouthy Money https://s17207.pcdn.co/category/investing/ Build wealth Thu, 19 Jun 2025 13:58:01 +0000 en-GB hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.8.1 https://s17207.pcdn.co/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/cropped-Mouthy-Money-NEW-LOGO-square-2-32x32.png Investing Archives - Mouthy Money https://s17207.pcdn.co/category/investing/ 32 32 Bank of England holds base rate at 4.25% amid economic uncertainty https://s17207.pcdn.co/investing/bank-of-england-holds-base-rate-at-4-25-amid-economic-uncertainty/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=bank-of-england-holds-base-rate-at-4-25-amid-economic-uncertainty https://s17207.pcdn.co/investing/bank-of-england-holds-base-rate-at-4-25-amid-economic-uncertainty/#respond Thu, 19 Jun 2025 13:57:49 +0000 https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/?p=10843 The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 6-3 to maintain its base rate at 4.25%, signalling caution amid global trade uncertainties and domestic economic challenges. The decision reflects a delicate balance act the central bank is facing between curbing inflation and supporting growth. Three members dissented, voting for a rate cut citing a…

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The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 6-3 to maintain its base rate at 4.25%, signalling caution amid global trade uncertainties and domestic economic challenges.

The decision reflects a delicate balance act the central bank is facing between curbing inflation and supporting growth.

Three members dissented, voting for a rate cut citing a softening labour market and subdued consumer demand.

The MPC noted that underlying UK GDP growth remains weak, while the labour market is ‘loosening’ – i.e. more people are losing jobs.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation is expected to peak at 3.7% in September before stabilising just below 3.5% by the end of 2025.

More from Edmund Greaves

Uncertain picture for household finances

The Bank’s most recent decision is taken against a persistently unclear outlook for households to plan against.

Most watchers believe it will cut its rate to 4% in August, eventually reaching 3.5% some time next year. But the MPC has taken a ‘two steps forward, one step back’ approach for some time, disappointing mortgage holders in particular.

Nicholas Hyett, investment manager at Wealth Club explains why the situation is so complicated: “The Bank of England’s goal over the last two years has been to slowly bring down inflation without crashing the economy – achieving a so-called soft landing, that’s not easy at the best of times let alone when the economic data is unreliable.

“Official data suggests the Bank has so far done a pretty good job, with the UK labour market holding up well. The problem is that data has never been more unreliable, and elsewhere there are signs of strain. Just this morning recruiter Hays said that it is experiencing significant weakness, with a 13% revenue fall in UK & Ireland as hiring for permanent positions softens.

“Inflation numbers too are subject to uncertainty and had to be restated last month after an error in the data. Conflict in the Middle East risks higher energy prices potentially pushing inflation higher – though calling the course of events there is almost certainly a mugs game, and the Bank has said that under current conditions it expects inflation to remain broadly at current levels for the rest of the year.

“The risk is that all the uncertainty leaves the Bank paralysed, with rates stuck at their current level. With uncertain data, policy setters will need a really compelling reason to hike or cut interest rates and that could result in default driven decisions.”

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GDP falls as ‘Awful April’ bites the economy https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/gdp-falls-as-awful-april-bites-the-economy/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=gdp-falls-as-awful-april-bites-the-economy https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/gdp-falls-as-awful-april-bites-the-economy/#respond Thu, 12 Jun 2025 09:55:10 +0000 https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/?p=10829 UK GDP fell 0.3% in April as rising costs and global tensions hit growth, raising concerns for households already squeezed by inflation, tax hikes, and a softening job market The UK economy showed 0.3% contraction in April on the back of global tariff wars, National Insurance and minimum wage hikes. GDP fell 0.3% in April…

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UK GDP fell 0.3% in April as rising costs and global tensions hit growth, raising concerns for households already squeezed by inflation, tax hikes, and a softening job market


The UK economy showed 0.3% contraction in April on the back of global tariff wars, National Insurance and minimum wage hikes.

GDP fell 0.3% in April according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

The biggest detractor to economic growth was a decline in production, which fell 0.6%, while services were down 0.4%.

One bright spot was construction, which saw a 0.9% increase.

Liz McKeown, director of economic statistics and the ONS commented: “The economy contracted in April, with services and manufacturing both falling. However, over the last three months as a whole, GDP still grew, with signs that some activity may have been brought forward from April to earlier in the year.

“Both legal and real estate firms fared badly in April, following a sharp increase in house sales in March when buyers rushed to complete purchases ahead of changes to stamp duty. Car manufacturing also performed poorly after growing in the first quarter of the year.

“In contrast April was a strong month for construction, research and development and retail, with increases in these only partially offsetting falls elsewhere.”

More from Edmund Greaves

What does this mean for my finances?

The fall, while only short term, reflects increasing struggles in the economy as a wave of policies and global events hamper business confidence and planning.

Tax increase alongside higher staffing costs driven by minimum wage increase have impacted on economic performance.

While this is bad news in the round, it could presage more interest rate cuts by the Bank of England as it looks to help support the economy in a tough spot.

Alice Haine, personal finance analyst at online investment platform Bestinvest by Evelyn Partners, says for households “a contracting economy will be concerning.”

She add: “Lacklustre economic growth can have dire consequences for people’s finances if earnings stagnate and redundancies ramp up as companies focus on reducing costs rather than investing in expansion and new hires.

“That trend is already evident in the latest jobs data with unemployment on the rise, vacancies continuing to fall and private sector wage growth easing back. 

“Pair a softening labour market and slowing pay growth with an uptick in inflation in April and a creeping tax burden and household finances may start to feel the squeeze once again. 

“There are some glimmers of hope, however. Borrowing costs have eased from their peak thanks to four interest rate cuts since last August and energy costs are set to drop from July 1 though they will remain 10% higher than the summer of 2024.

“These factors will relieve some of the pain for consumers but with inflationary pressures still lingering, the Bank of England is expected to keep the headline interest rate on hold at 4.25% at its rate-setting meeting next week.”

Haine has some guidance for anyone concerned by how the situation could affect their financial security.

“Many household budgets are still grappling with the horrible hangover left by the cost-of-living crisis,” she says, “which is why getting a grip on personal finances as disposable incomes get hit by elevated prices once again and the longstanding freeze to personal tax thresholds is imperative.

“Whether it’s tackling troublesome debts, setting aside some financial reserves or polishing up a CV, consumers would be wise to get their financial affairs in order to protect against any sudden shocks, such as job loss.”

Photo credits: Pexels

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The spending review is the perfect storm in a teacup for our times https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/the-spending-review-is-the-perfect-storm-in-a-teacup-for-our-times/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=the-spending-review-is-the-perfect-storm-in-a-teacup-for-our-times https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/the-spending-review-is-the-perfect-storm-in-a-teacup-for-our-times/#respond Thu, 12 Jun 2025 09:54:27 +0000 https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/?p=10826 The Chancellor’s spending review is a serious storm in a teacup as dark clouds gather around the UK’s economy, editor Edmund Greaves writes. Chancellor Rachel Reeves delivered her major spending review yesterday. Needless to say the reaction (and speculation beforehand) was a deeply mixed bag. For all the talk of spending here, investment there and…

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The Chancellor’s spending review is a serious storm in a teacup as dark clouds gather around the UK’s economy, editor Edmund Greaves writes.


Chancellor Rachel Reeves delivered her major spending review yesterday. Needless to say the reaction (and speculation beforehand) was a deeply mixed bag.

For all the talk of spending here, investment there and tough decisions there was little for normal people to take from the announcements – a veritable storm in the media teacup which frenzied itself up ahead of the day.

The reason it contained nothing of interest for us normals is that it wasn’t a ‘fiscal event’. The Chancellor – in other words – didn’t change any tax rates or give away any new baubles.

Even the experts seemed a bit baffled by the whole thing.

But it has landed at a time when the economic clouds are beginning to gather in earnest.

Numbers going the wrong way

Labour have been very quick to defend the economic picture, but it is undoubtedly gloomy.

In the past 12 months 250,000 people are no longer on employer payrolls (a proxy for unemployment figures that are broken at the moment).

Interest rates have come down a bit – but thanks to inflation ticking back up close to 4% it is questionable how much more they can shift lower sustainably.

GDP has taken a big hit – figures out today show a 0.3% fall. Although these are largely statistical noise there is a case to be made that National Insurance hikes, minimum wage increases and other effects in April are putting a lot of pressure on the economy.

And this is what we’ve got at the moment, the perfect storm in a teacup of our times. We sit and watch a load of noise on what is going on in the economy, while the rest of us just try and get by, our wallets feeling tighter by the day.

Because I don’t know about you, but things feel tight for me at the moment and I’m meant to be fucking financial whizz. Times are hard and they aren’t getting better. We’ve cut tons of our discretionary spending and it still feels like not enough.

If this is being replicated up and down the land then the country is in real trouble.

The unemployment is what worries me the most (and I am sure worries Whitehall the most). History tells us when large numbers of people find themselves out of work, angry and disenfranchised – that is the moment when the nation is in greatest peril.

I pray for better days to come.

Photo credits: Flickr

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Should I get income protection? https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/should-i-get-income-protection/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=should-i-get-income-protection https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/should-i-get-income-protection/#respond Thu, 05 Jun 2025 12:46:54 +0000 https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/?p=10812 Income protection policies help people plan for times when they might not be able to earn a living through no fault of their own. Income protection insurance can provide a potentially vital financial safety net for families, yet it remains widely misunderstood or overlooked by many. With rising living costs and economic uncertainty, safeguarding your…

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Income protection policies help people plan for times when they might not be able to earn a living through no fault of their own.


Income protection insurance can provide a potentially vital financial safety net for families, yet it remains widely misunderstood or overlooked by many.

With rising living costs and economic uncertainty, safeguarding your income against unforeseen circumstances is more important than ever.

Let’s look at what income protection insurance is, why you might need it, when you might not, plus the key considerations when shopping for a policy.

Income protection explained

Income protection insurance is a policy designed to provide a regular income if you’re unable to work due to illness, injury, or disability.

Unlike other forms of ‘protection’ insurance, such as life insurance or critical illness cover, income protection focuses on replacing a portion of your earnings over an extended period, helping you maintain your lifestyle and meet financial commitments.

The way it works is straightforward. You pay a monthly premium to an insurer, and in return, the policy pays out a tax-free monthly sum – typically 50-70% of your pre-tax income – if you’re unable to work for a specified period.

Policies often have a waiting (or deferral) period, which can range from a few weeks to several months, during which you must be unable to work before payments begin. This waiting period can be tailored to your circumstances, with shorter periods generally leading to higher premiums.

Payments continue until you’re able to return to work, the policy term ends, or you reach retirement age, depending on the policy’s terms.

Some policies also offer additional benefits, such as rehabilitation support to help you return to work or cover for specific conditions like back injuries or mental health issues.

Income protection is particularly valuable for those whose financial stability depends on their ability to earn, offering peace of mind that bills, mortgages and daily expenses can still be covered during difficult times.

More from Edmund Greaves

Why you might need income protection

The primary reason to consider income protection is the risk of serious illness or injury that prevents you from earning an income.

In the UK, millions of people face long-term health challenges that disrupt their ability to work. Over 2.8 million people were economically inactive due to long-term sickness in 2024, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), a figure that highlights the vulnerability of relying solely on personal savings or statutory benefits.

Serious illnesses, such as cancer, heart disease, or mental health conditions, can strike unexpectedly, often requiring extended recovery periods.

Similarly, accidents – whether a car crash or a workplace injury – can lead to temporary or permanent disability, cutting off your income stream.

Statutory Sick Pay (SSP) in the UK provides only £118.75 per week (as of 2025) for up to 28 weeks, which is unlikely to cover most people’s living expenses, especially if you have a mortgage, rent, or dependents.

 Savings can quickly dwindle and benefits such as Universal Credit may not bridge the gap adequately. Income protection can provide a more substantial, reliable income, allowing you to focus on recovery without the added stress of financial hardship.

Self-employed individuals are particularly at risk, as they lack access to employer-provided sick pay. Freelancers, contractors, and small business owners often face immediate financial strain if they’re unable to work.

Even salaried employees may find their employer’s sick pay scheme, typically a few months at full or half pay, insufficient for prolonged absences.

Beyond health-related risks, income protection can also be a lifeline for those with significant financial commitments, such as young families or individuals with large mortgages. Losing your income could jeopardise family stability, making income protection an essential consideration for parents.

Reasons why you wouldn’t need it

While income protection is valuable for many, it’s not necessary for everyone. Certain circumstances may reduce or eliminate the need for a personal policy.

If you’re employed and benefit from a robust workplace protection scheme, you may already have adequate cover. Some employers offer generous sick pay packages, covering full or partial salary for extended periods, or provide group income protection schemes as part of their benefits package.

These policies, often cheaper due to collective bargaining, may make a personal policy redundant. However, it’s crucial to review the terms. Some schemes only cover specific conditions or have shorter payout periods.

Individuals with substantial savings or alternative income sources may also forgo income protection. For example, if you have enough in savings to cover living expenses for several years, or if you have passive income from investments, rental properties, or a pension, you may not need the additional security of a policy.

Similarly, those with a partner or family member who can fully support household finances during a period of illness might feel less urgency to purchase cover.

People nearing retirement or with no dependents may also find income protection less relevant. If you’re close to receiving a pension or have paid off major debts like a mortgage, the financial impact of losing your income may be minimal. Additionally, some policies don’t cover individuals over a certain age, typically 65, which aligns with retirement for many.

Finally, if you work in a low-risk profession and have excellent health, you might perceive the risk of needing income protection as low. However, this assumption itself carries risks, as unexpected illnesses or accidents can affect anyone, regardless of lifestyle or occupation.

Things to look out for when buying a policy

Choosing the right income protection policy requires careful consideration to ensure it meets your needs and offers value for money.

Here are key factors to keep in mind:

Shop around: Premiums and policy terms vary widely between insurers. Use comparison websites or work with a broker to explore options from multiple providers. Look at the percentage of income covered, the deferral period, and any additional benefits, such as rehabilitation support or premium waivers during unemployment.

Consider speaking to an adviser: An independent financial adviser can help you navigate the complexities of income protection options, ensuring the policy aligns with your financial situation and goals.

Understand exclusions and eligibility: Insurers may exclude pre-existing medical conditions, mental health issues, or high-risk occupations (e.g., construction or professional sports). Disclose your full medical history and job details to avoid having claims denied later. Some conditions, like chronic illnesses, may preclude you from getting cover or increase premiums.

Check policy flexibility: Ensure the policy allows adjustments, such as changing the deferral period or coverage amount, as your circumstances evolve. Also, check whether premiums are guaranteed (fixed) or reviewable (subject to change), as this can affect the long-term affordability of the policy.

Cost vs. coverage: While cheaper policies may seem appealing, they often come with shorter payout periods or stricter terms. Balance affordability with comprehensive cover and explore policies with back-to-work support to reduce long-term costs.

In conclusion, income protection insurance is a crucial consideration for many in the UK, particularly those with dependents, significant debts, or no alternative financial safety net.

By understanding how it works, assessing your need, and carefully selecting a policy, you can protect your financial future against the unpredictability of illness or injury.

Always consult with professionals if you’re in any doubt and compare options to find a policy that offers both security and peace of mind.

Photo credits: Pexels

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Minimum retirement income costs fall as energy bills get cheaper https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/minimum-retirement-income-costs-fall-as-energy-bills-get-cheaper/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=minimum-retirement-income-costs-fall-as-energy-bills-get-cheaper https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/minimum-retirement-income-costs-fall-as-energy-bills-get-cheaper/#respond Thu, 05 Jun 2025 12:45:07 +0000 https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/?p=10814 The average cost of minimum retirement income has fallen by £1,000 thanks to lower energy bills, according to the Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association. The Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association (PLSA) has released its latest Retirement Living Standards update, revealing a notable decrease in the cost of a minimum retirement lifestyle, while moderate and comfortable…

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The average cost of minimum retirement income has fallen by £1,000 thanks to lower energy bills, according to the Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association.


The Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association (PLSA) has released its latest Retirement Living Standards update, revealing a notable decrease in the cost of a minimum retirement lifestyle, while moderate and comfortable standards have seen increases.

The changes are driven by lower energy prices and shifting public expectations on retirement income levels.

For a two-person household, the cost of a minimum retirement lifestyle has dropped to £21,600 annually, down £800 from previous levels, while a one-person household now requiring £13,400, a £1,000 reduction.

The decline is largely attributed to a significant fall in energy costs, with weekly domestic fuel budgets for a two-person household at the minimum level decreasing by £12.44 and by £8.82 for one-person households.

These savings reflect broader economic shifts, including lower energy prices, which have eased financial pressures for retirees at this level.

Zoe Alexander, director of policy and advocacy at the PLSA, said: “For many, retirement is about maintaining the life they already have not living more extravagantly or cutting back to the bare essentials. The Standards are designed to help people picture that future and plan in a way that works for them.

“Everyone’s situation is different, and contributions should be manageable. But if your circumstances improve, even small increases can make a big difference to your future.

“This year’s findings show that costs can go down as well as up. But planning matters more than ever. Whether you’re on your own or sharing your future with someone else, these Standards are here to help savers picture and plan their retirement – with real figures, real choices and real flexibility.”

The Retirement Living Standards, calculated by Loughborough University’s Centre for Research in Social Policy, are based on in-depth discussions with UK residents to define three retirement lifestyles: Minimum, Moderate and Comfortable.

While the minimum standard saw reductions, the moderate and comfortable standards have risen slightly due to inflation across various expenditure categories, though lower energy costs – down £16.74 and £15.38 per week for two- and one-person households, respectively – helped offset these increases.

Professor Matt Padley, co-director of the Centre for Research in Social Policy at Loughborough University, said: “Our research on what the public agree is needed in retirement at these three different levels continues to track changes in expectations, shaped by the broader economic, social and political context.

“The consequences of the cost-of-living challenges over the past few years are still being felt, and we’ve seen some subtle changes in public consensus about minimum living standards in retirement, resulting in a small fall in the expenditure needed to reach this standard. 

“In these uncertain times, planning in concrete ways for the future is ever more important, and the RLS help people to think in more concrete ways about what they want their retirement to look like, and how much they will need to live at this level.”

Public discussions also highlighted evolving expectations for the Minimum standard, with small adjustments in spending on clothing, hairdressing, technology, taxi use, and charitable giving. However, rail travel budgets increased, rising from £100 to £180 per person annually, reflecting higher fares and greater reliance on trains for longer journeys.

More from Edmund Greaves

This year’s update introduces new terminology, replacing “single” and “couple” with “one-person” and “two-person” households to better reflect modern retirement living arrangements.

A PLSA survey found that 75% of people live with family members, 22% live alone, and 3% share with non-family members. Looking ahead, 77% of non-retired individuals expect to live with someone in retirement, with only 12% preferring to live alone, signaling openness to shared living to reduce costs.

The RLS serve as a guide, not a rigid target, encouraging retirees to tailor plans to their lifestyles.

Alexander urges savers to consider pension contributions beyond the 8% automatic enrolment default, suggesting 12% or more for a better chance at their desired retirement.

Photo credits: Pexels

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UK Government announces pension reforms to combine pension funds and increase domestic investment https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/uk-government-announces-pension-reforms-to-combine-pension-funds-and-increase-domestic-investment/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=uk-government-announces-pension-reforms-to-combine-pension-funds-and-increase-domestic-investment https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/uk-government-announces-pension-reforms-to-combine-pension-funds-and-increase-domestic-investment/#respond Thu, 29 May 2025 14:59:54 +0000 https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/?p=10805 The UK Government’s sweeping pension reforms aim to combine pension funds and increase domestic investment, but raise questions about risk, returns and saver protections. The UK Government has revealed plans to double the number of pension megafunds managing £25bn or more by 2030 through the upcoming Pension Schemes Bill. The reforms will consolidate multi-employer Defined…

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The UK Government’s sweeping pension reforms aim to combine pension funds and increase domestic investment, but raise questions about risk, returns and saver protections.

The UK Government has revealed plans to double the number of pension megafunds managing £25bn or more by 2030 through the upcoming Pension Schemes Bill.

The reforms will consolidate multi-employer Defined Contribution (DC) pension schemes and Local Government Pension Scheme (LGPS) pools to boost investment in UK infrastructure, housing and businesses, with an estimated £50bn to be channelled into the economy.

The move is aimed at addressing a decline in domestic pension fund investments.

Currently, only about 20% of DC pension assets are invested in the UK, down from over 50% in 2012. The reforms mandate that DC schemes and LGPS pools operate at megafund scale, managing at least £25bn by 2030.

Schemes with over £10bn unable to meet this target must outline plans to reach £25bn by 2035. The Government cites Canada and Australia, where larger funds invest in infrastructure and private businesses, potentially yielding higher returns.

Consolidation is projected to save £1bn in scheme fees annually by 2030 through economies of scale and improved governance. The Government estimates an average earner’s DC pension pot could increase by £6,000 at retirement, with further gains expected from the Pension Schemes Bill, though these depend on market performance and implementation.

The bill will also permit DC schemes to transfer savers’ assets into better-performing funds and grant powers to enforce asset allocation targets.

The pensions minister Torsten Bell, comments: “Our economic strategy is about delivering real change, not tinkering around the edges.

“When it comes to pensions, size matters, so our plans will double the number of £25 billion plus megafunds. These reforms will mean bigger, better pension schemes, delivering a better retirement for millions and high investment in Britain.”

Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner also noted in the announcement that consolidating the £392bn LGPS into six pools could support local priorities for the 6.7 million public servants whose savings are managed through such schemes. Local investment targets are expected to secure £27.5bn for regional projects.

The Pension Schemes Bill will also address small pension pots and require schemes to demonstrate value.

What this means for UK pension holders

For UK workers with DC pensions or LGPS memberships, the reforms may alter how their savings are managed. Savers could see their pension pots moved into larger megafunds, potentially benefiting from lower costs and diversified investments in infrastructure or businesses.

However, the projected £6,000 boost is not guaranteed, hinging on market conditions and fund performance.

Public sector workers may see their pensions increasingly fund local projects, raising questions about investment risks.

The Pension Schemes Bill will introduce measures to ensure value for money, but savers should monitor how their funds are managed and the implications for their retirement.

More from Edmund Greaves

Concerns over compelling domestic investment

The Government plans to legislate asset allocation targets, including a 5% commitment to UK assets. This has sparked concerns that compelling certain investments could lead to inferior outcomes. 

Critics argue that forcing pension funds to prioritise domestic projects could compromise returns, as investment decisions may be driven by policy rather than financial merit.

Private markets, such as infrastructure or start-ups, often carry higher risks and costs, potentially affecting savers’ pensions if projects underperform. There’s also worry about reduced diversification, as over-concentration in UK assets could expose funds to domestic economic volatility.

For LGPS members, local investment targets might lead to scrutiny over whether projects align with community needs or favour political priorities. While the Government insists savers’ interests will be protected, some fear the reserve powers to enforce targets could limit fund managers’ independence, raising questions about long-term pension security.

While framed as a step toward economic growth, the reforms’ impact on savers and the economy remains uncertain.

Photo credits: Pexels

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We’re on the cusp of returning to an era of financial repression https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/were-on-the-cusp-of-returning-to-an-era-of-financial-repression/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=were-on-the-cusp-of-returning-to-an-era-of-financial-repression https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/were-on-the-cusp-of-returning-to-an-era-of-financial-repression/#respond Thu, 29 May 2025 14:58:20 +0000 https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/?p=10803 Edmund Greaves warns that the Government’s new powers to direct pension fund investment mark the start of a shift toward financial repression The Government is giving itself power to force pension schemes to invest in the UK. This would set us back onto the path to financial repression. Financial repression is something we’ve largely forgotten…

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Edmund Greaves warns that the Government’s new powers to direct pension fund investment mark the start of a shift toward financial repression


The Government is giving itself power to force pension schemes to invest in the UK. This would set us back onto the path to financial repression.

Financial repression is something we’ve largely forgotten about as a concept in the UK.

But for around 30 years after World War II it was one of the most important – and pernicious – policies for economies looking to bury their bad debts.

With the Government set to give itself the power to compel financial institutions in the UK to invest pension scheme members’ money into British assets – we are on the cusp of returning to that era.

Before I get into the ins and outs of financial repression – I must say (and did make clear in this week’s podcast) that this is just the beginning of a policy journey that could take any number of directions. But the scene is now set for what is to come.

What is financial repression?

Financial repression is a mechanism used by Governments which face painfully high national debt levels.

Financial repression comprises policies that result in savers earning returns below the rate of inflation to allow banks to provide cheap loans to companies and governments, reducing the burden of repayments.

It can be particularly effective at liquidating government debt denominated in domestic currency.

There are a few ways the Government can do this:

  1. Explicit or indirect capping of interest rates, such as on government debt and deposit rates.
  2. Government ownership or control of domestic banks and financial institutions with barriers that limit other institutions from entering the market.
  3. High reserve requirements.
  4. Government restrictions on the transfer of assets abroad through the imposition of capital controls.
  5. Creation or maintenance of a captive domestic market for government debt, achieved by requiring financial institutions to hold government debt via capital requirements, or by prohibiting or disincentivising alternatives.

Point number five sounds an awful lot like what the Government has announced today with regards to compelling UK pension scheme to invest domestically.

More from Edmund Greaves

Why is this an option for the Government?

In the situation we are in today – with a debt-to-GDP ratio of over 100% – the Government faces tough choices about how it continues to raise, and spend, money.

It is politically toxic to cut spending (austerity) but it is also practically impossible to tax more too. Both would seriously hamper economic growth – something desperately needed to improve people’s standards of living and ensure the country doesn’t collapse into chaos.

This is where governments reach for this little-understood policy tool – financial repression.

This tool works in a number of ways, but the main purpose is to force savers to accept lower returns, generally leaving their pots worse off against inflation.

Over time as the economy grows, this makes the relative size of the national debt look smaller as a percentage of GDP. It makes the Government’s debt repayments more affordable and means it doesn’t have to make the aforementioned unpalatable political choices.

We have historic precedent for this – it is exactly what a series of governments between around 1945 and the 1970s opted to do. In the wake of World War II, national debt sat at more than 200% of GDP – even worse than the current predicament.

By the 70s this had fallen to less than 30% – all thanks to financial repression.

It was decided – over many years – that it was a policy choice worth making despite its effects on savers, in order to avoid drastic spending cuts or tax rises. It was the ‘least worst’ option.

Who is worst affected?

The winners and losers of financial repression are fairly easy to define.

Winners include the Government, who gets to devalue its debts. Working people who aren’t big asset owners also potentially win as services aren’t cut and taxes aren’t raised. That is subject however to workers ensuring their pay rises with inflation consistently.

The big losers are savers – or anyone with assets that have to stay ahead of inflation.

The Bank of England is currently cutting its base rate, all while inflation is ticking up close to 4%. This in effect creates the perfect conditions for financial repression to take place.

The point here is that the Government is unable to tax wealthier pensioners (see why they’ve reversed on the winter fuel allowance cuts) without facing severe consequences at the ballot box.

Instead, financial repression acts like a stealth tax on asset holders/savers. The Government can simply point to the rising cost of living as to why retirees suddenly find their pension and savings incomes aren’t keeping up with costs.

Of course, there is a significant caveat in this thanks to the state pension and its associated triple lock.

In an environment that punishes savers (read: pensioners) the state pension triple lock provides an income guarantee at the bottom of the wealth pyramid. This means that financial repression is to an extent ‘progressive’ in that it is wealth that is taxed away, so the more of it you have, the more you stand to lose.

Again, we’re not in the middle of this yet, but we are now on the path to it with these pension law changes.

And the reality is that this may be our only answer to the horrendous fiscal situation the country finds itself in. at the end of the day someone is going to have to feel the pain in order to put the national finances back on an even keel.

It might be that financial repression is the only option to do that now.

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How to invest for an income in 2025 https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/how-to-invest-for-an-income-in-2025/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=how-to-invest-for-an-income-in-2025 https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/how-to-invest-for-an-income-in-2025/#respond Thu, 29 May 2025 14:55:20 +0000 https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/?p=10801 Pension holders face an ever more complicated landscape when it comes to looking to invest for an income. Mouthy Money asks the experts how it can be done. At a time when capital values may be bouncing around in response to the latest missive from the White House, receiving an income from your investments can…

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Pension holders face an ever more complicated landscape when it comes to looking to invest for an income. Mouthy Money asks the experts how it can be done.


At a time when capital values may be bouncing around in response to the latest missive from the White House, receiving an income from your investments can be a reassuring source of stability.

In today’s market environment, investors have an abundance of choice. It is still possible to pick up an annual income of 5-6% from stock market or fixed income investments out without thinking too hard or doing too much.

Until recently, investors wanting an income from their savings could have secured a reasonable, if unexciting, return from cash deposits. Rates of 5% were not uncommon, which – with inflation at around 2.5% – saw savers’ money grow in real terms.

However, these rates are disappearing fast as Bank of England base rates fall. Online comparison site Moneyfacts points out that rates have now fallen to their lowest rate in two years.

Against this backdrop, the additional income an investor can pick up through the stock market or through a fixed income investment looks appealing. James Calder, chief investment officer at City Asset Management, says there is an “embarrassment of riches” when it comes to getting income from investments and investors don’t have to take a lot of risk to pick up a high yield.

He says: “We don’t have to struggle for income anymore. During the era of 0% interest rates, we generally used equity income funds, which would give us a 3-4% yield when bonds were paying next-to-nothing. We don’t have to do that now.

“Now there are short-dated UK Government bonds that pay 4% or higher, which have tax advantages for retail investors. And investors don’t have to work that much harder to get 5-6%.”

Gilts are a decent starting point for a low-risk investor. Gilts are bonds issued by the UK government and are available on most of the major investment platforms. Investors can lock in an income of 4.5-5% for the lifetime of the bond and then get their money back at the end. While the price of the gilt may bounce around, providing you hold it to term – and the UK government doesn’t default (which hasn’t happened in the 330+ years gilts have existed) – you will get your money back plus the interest.

There are also tax advantages. Dan Coatsworth. investment analyst at AJ Bell says: “Any gains made on gilts are exempt from capital gains tax.

“With some gilts trading below ‘par’ (£100) and offering a low coupon, it means that a good proportion of the return, if held to maturity, comes from capital gains rather than from income. As a result, when the yields on offer are held up next to the interest rates available on deposit, gilts compare very favourably.”

Corporate bonds are the next level up. Investors are taking more risk than they would with a government bond because companies can and do go bust from time to time. However, for large blue-chip organisations, it is relatively rare and investment grade bond funds are usually a steady choice for investors.

In this part of the market, Darius McDermott, managing director at FundCalibre, suggests the Artemis Corporate Bond fund, managed by experienced manager Stephen Snowden. It has a yield of 5.4% and at least 80% invested in investment grade corporate bonds.  

High yield bonds – which are issued by smaller, riskier or more indebted companies – will give a higher income but come with more risk. Default rates rise from near zero for investment grade bonds to 3-4% for high yield.

Calder feels he doesn’t need to take the risk, “we’re getting just as good a return for moderately risky assets”, but for those who are interested in the 7-8% yields on offer, McDermott suggests managers such as Mike Scott on the Man High Yield Opportunities who have a strong track record on credit selection.

More from Cherry Reynard

Inflation issues

The problem with all cash and fixed income investments is that they won’t protect against inflation. Until recently, that hadn’t been a significant problem, but inflationary pressures keep rearing their heads. The latest UK inflation reading was 3.5% for April, as a raft of household bill increases came into effect.

Stock market investment has a far better track record of keeping pace with inflation. This is because companies can often raise their prices in line with inflation and therefore mitigate its impact. The first port of call for many investors is the AIC’s Dividend Heroes list. These are a range of investment trusts that have a well-established track record of growing their dividends year after year.

City of London, Bankers and Alliance Witan have all raised their dividends for 58 consecutive years. F&C Investment trust, Brunner, and Merchants are also strong contenders. The longevity of their income record is helped by the investment trust structure, which allows them to reserve dividends in strong years to pay out in weaker years. Many of these trusts have built up good reserves to see them through difficult patches.

Elsewhere in the equity income sectors, investors could do worse than look at the UK, which has the highest yields of any major market. It has been unloved for some years and looks cheap relative to other markets. A multi-cap income fund can also capture the bargains on offer in the unfashionable small and mid-cap sectors, while retaining the ballast of larger cap UK companies. The Jupiter UK Multi-Cap Income or Marlborough Multi Cap Income funds could be good options.

For a global option, Gavin Haynes, investment consultant at Fairview Investing, suggests the Artemis Global income fund: “While growth focused tech stocks have been much loved, income producing shares remain cheap in comparison. Dividend income could prove to be more important than it has been over the past decade. The Artemis fund follows a value approach looking for unloved cheap dividend producing stocks.”

A final thought would be the yields available from areas such as commercial property or infrastructure. Both asset classes have struggled in an environment of rising interest rates, but should now have a tailwind.

While there is lots of choice on offer, McDermott likes the TR Property Investment trust, which invests in the shares of property companies of all sizes and has a yield of 4.9%. Infrastructure funds tend to have reliable, inflation-adjusted cash flows and are invested in solid assets such as toll roads, utilities, hospitals or schools. First Sentier Global Listed Infrastructure is a solid choice.

After many years when stock markets have been all about AI, the US and technology companies, dividends may be about to become a more important part of overall returns for investors. Either way, they can be a reassuring and reliable source of return during uncertain times.

Disclaimer

This article is produced for general informational purposes only. It should not be construed as investment, legal, tax or other forms of financial advice.

If in any doubt about the themes expressed, consider consulting with a regulated financial professional for your own personal situation.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you started with.

Investments are speculative and can be affected by volatility. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

For more information visit www.fca.org.uk/investsmart

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What is it like to get financial advice? https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/what-is-it-like-to-get-financial-advice/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=what-is-it-like-to-get-financial-advice https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/what-is-it-like-to-get-financial-advice/#respond Thu, 22 May 2025 09:27:12 +0000 https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/?p=10796 Financial advice is a nebulous thing to most people – but most advisers are just trying to help others achieve their financial goals, editor Edmund Greaves writes. Have you ever had financial advice? I have, in a few different formats. It is important to realise that financial advice isn’t something that the ultra-wealthy get and…

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Financial advice is a nebulous thing to most people – but most advisers are just trying to help others achieve their financial goals, editor Edmund Greaves writes.


Have you ever had financial advice? I have, in a few different formats.

It is important to realise that financial advice isn’t something that the ultra-wealthy get and not something we all have access to in one way or another.

I’ve had advice on our mortgage (and we were very happy with the deal). I will have to go back in a couple years to get it again when our deal is up.

I was given advice on life insurance and income protection. Although my life insurance experience was disappointing at the time (although the adviser was excellent) – I do now how an income protection policy, which I was advised into.

These were good experiences in terms of the advice I felt I received. Unfortunately, I have also had one bad experience.

When I was much younger and getting started with my career as a freelance journalist, I was advised (admittedly informally) to not bother getting a pension.

This was bad advice and has almost certainly set back my future retirement plans by about four years, as it delayed my first pension pot starting until I got a full-time role in the UK in 2016.

Crucially, I did not know this was bad advice at the time – because the adviser was the exert and I was a graduate with absolutely no financial knowledge to speak of.

Fortunately, I now know better.

More from Edmund Greaves

Why advice matters

The industry on the whole – from mortgages to life and general financial advice – has come on considerably since those days.

The sector does suffer from a major problem with the advice gap. This gap is essentially the gulf between what financial advisers are permitted to offer and the minimum level at which giving that advice becomes commercially viable.

The Government and regulator are fortunately looking at the issue, but it remains to be seen what kind of fix we get.

I have recently begun a regular series of interviews with financial planners for Mouthy Money’s partner site Octo Members. You can catch the first edition of that with Smart Financial’s Kate Morgan on Mouthy Money.

Since I began (and we are still very much at the start) the sense I’ve gotten from the diverse range of planners is that these people have their clients at heart.

Yes, the process costs money – but they seem unanimously dedicated to the best outcomes for people who need help with their financial lives.

Importantly, it is about more than just bunging savings into particular pots and deciding what to invest in – planners look at a whole range of issues from inheritance to tax liability, planning for later life care and the longevity of a retirement plan.

Crucially, we want to showcase how financial planners think about their jobs and the roles they have to play in people’s lives – in order to better demystify the process and how it might be useful to normal people.

This forms a key part of Mouthy Money’s mission – to help people grow, protect and enjoy wealth no matter where they come from in life.

We’re going to be sharing these conversations first on Octo Members, but also here on Mouthy Money in order to get a better insight into what makes financial planners tick and why what they do matters to ordinary people. Stay tuned!

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Inflation spikes putting pressure on Government and Bank of England https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/inflation-spikes-putting-pressure-on-government-and-bank-of-england/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=inflation-spikes-putting-pressure-on-government-and-bank-of-england https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/investing/inflation-spikes-putting-pressure-on-government-and-bank-of-england/#respond Thu, 22 May 2025 09:26:09 +0000 https://www.mouthymoney.co.uk/?p=10794 Inflation has increased to its highest level in over a year as the Bank of England and Government grapple with rising costs for households. Inflation has increased to 3.5% on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measure of inflation according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The rate at which prices rise on average has…

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Inflation has increased to its highest level in over a year as the Bank of England and Government grapple with rising costs for households.


Inflation has increased to 3.5% on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measure of inflation according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

The rate at which prices rise on average has increased by more than anticipated, up from 2.6% in March 2025.

Chief among price rises leading the rate higher were energy prices (thanks to the increase in the energy price cap), transport cost increases and household services.

Core inflation – which removes more volatile prices such as for food, energy, alcohol and tobacco – increased by 3.8%, while prices for services rose by 5.4%.

More from Edmund Greaves

Bank of England and Government under pressure

The unexpectedly high increase in inflation has put pressure on the Bank of England and the Government – both of whom have a critical role in managing both price rises and economic growth.

The Bank of England last week cut its base rate to 4.25%. But this week the Bank’s own chief economist Huw Pill warned that it would have to slow its pace of cuts in order to ensure it does not lose control of inflation again.

Before the most recent inflation report, investment markets anticipated that the bank rate would fall to 3.5% by the end of the year. But it has reined in this forecast to an average expectation of 3.9%.

The Government meanwhile is coming under renewed pressure as April’s spike was affected by increases in National Insurance, living wage levels and other tax increases such as council tax.

Bad news for savers and mortgage buyers

The spike in inflation is also potentially bad news for both savers and mortgage buyers.

Savers now face falling rates thanks the Bank of England base rate cuts while inflation steadily eats into their savings returns. While savers can still find inflation-beating rates on the market, the number of accounts is dwindling as providers cut their offers.

Mortgage buyers have benefited from recent cuts in the mortgage market as lenders attempt to position themselves more competitively while the base rate comes down.

But with the pace of cuts now in doubt, it is likely that the number of improved deals could slow precipitously.

Savers need to consider if their long-term savings might be better put to use via investments, while mortgage shoppers should ensure they are looking for the best deal possible and speaking to a broker who can help find the best mortgage for their situations.

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